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likely states obama carries. >> not counting north carolina, well, colorado is going to be tough. i think of all the battleground states, that's probably the closest. >> give me the next two. >> new hampshire, and i think florida, although, i am more optimistic about florida. >> i'm sensing that. >> i think florida could be the odd surprise. >> jim? >> keep an eye on hispanic voters. >> that's what i agree. most pessimistic, romney side. what do you think? >> definitely nevada. definitely iowa. i guess wisconsin. wisconsin, ohio. they need one of those two. >> well, no. one of the other ones. either iowa or ohio or wisconsin. >> liz, what do you sense is the closest state? what's going to be the closest state? >> it's going to be my state. >> you think it's going to be the closest state? >> i think at the end, that's what we'll see, correct. >> i think it's going to be nevada. >> you think that's going to be the closest? >> yeah, i think that's going to be a razor-thin margin, presumably for romney. >> i'm going to stick with virginia. i've been going back and forth between virgin
likely states obama carries. >> not counting north carolina, well, colorado is going to be tough. i think of all the battleground states, that's probably the closest. >> give me the next two. >> new hampshire, and i think florida, although, i am more optimistic about florida. >> i'm sensing that. >> i think florida could be the odd surprise. >> jim? >> keep an eye on hispanic voters. >> that's what i agree. most pessimistic, romney side. what do...
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Nov 3, 2012
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one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate in indiana ended up being the guy on the left side of your screen richard mourdock. he's up against joe donnelly. since he made his rape comment at a debate a few weeks ago, in very, very, very, very red state indiana, the republican candidate is now behind in that state senate race. he's losing the race by double digits. here's the interesting thing about that poll to. it's a poll in indiana, which almost never happens. it's really weird, but nobody nationally never knows what's going on in indiana politics because they don't poll in indiana. in indiana, it's illegal to make automated calls for telemarketing purposes and for public opinion surv
one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate in indiana ended up being the guy on the left side...
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Oct 29, 2012
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i think the obama campaign feels that they are ahead in the states that motor like ohio and wisconsin and nevada. so as far as it's concerned right now, mitt romney has to go to those states and hang out there until election day. >> iowa came out over the weekend, "the des moines register" it to endorse mitt romney. they haven't endorsed aa republican for president since nixon 40 years ago. are you surprised? >> a little bit just because of the record of them supporting democrats. look, it's all about turnout at in the point. i'm not sure where this falls down. republicans tout their efforts to get out of the vote and point to these things like "the des moines register" endorsement. look, the fact is we have to get out and vote, and the efforts of the republicans while they're touting them being better than 2008, 2008 isn't the standard. it's 2012 against this obama machine and not 2008. right now i'm intently paying attention to what's going on with the get out of the vote effort in both camps. >> my thanks to our power ponl panl this morning. i appreciate your time. >> thank you. >>
i think the obama campaign feels that they are ahead in the states that motor like ohio and wisconsin and nevada. so as far as it's concerned right now, mitt romney has to go to those states and hang out there until election day. >> iowa came out over the weekend, "the des moines register" it to endorse mitt romney. they haven't endorsed aa republican for president since nixon 40 years ago. are you surprised? >> a little bit just because of the record of them supporting...
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Nov 3, 2012
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barack obama winning the state. so when i spoke with the former head of the republican party of florida, a guy named jim greer who is in his own trouble over charges about some illegal money thing that he was doing, but when he was running the party he told me that republican consultants came to him and said, we want to craft a bill that would get rid of early voting if we could, or severely cut it, because in the words of these consultants, according to jim greer, all it does is bring every african-american out from under a rock, that's a quote, and get them to vote for democrats. they don't vote for us, it doesn't help us. so the republican legislature which in 2010 became more tea party, more conservative, there's no margin in it for them to increase access to in-person early voting. what they did is passed a law that didn't touch absentee voting, which republicans tend to dominate in, but severely limited the early vote. just to give you some numbers, you're talking about there were 96 hours, there are 96 hours
barack obama winning the state. so when i spoke with the former head of the republican party of florida, a guy named jim greer who is in his own trouble over charges about some illegal money thing that he was doing, but when he was running the party he told me that republican consultants came to him and said, we want to craft a bill that would get rid of early voting if we could, or severely cut it, because in the words of these consultants, according to jim greer, all it does is bring every...
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Nov 4, 2012
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a lot of people cannot abide the idea of barack obama as president of the united states. they are angry. say outrageous things. the romney campaign abandoned most of the its message. it is just going back to some of the race stuff on welfare that it was doing before. they are appealing to that anger. they call that intensity, i call it irrationality. >> they have a lot of reason to go back to that, i suppose, alicia, when you look at the fact, the president is maintaining an edge in swing states, according to real politics, which is averaging the polls. president obama leads by roughly 4 points in washington and pennsylvania. leading by more than 2 in nevada, ohio and iowa. as a slighter margins in new hampshire and colorado, governor romney only leads in more at a point in florida and is narrowly ahead in virginia. that gives a reason for them to, let's say, be concerned. >> they need to be concerned because it is not just the enthuse yack enthuse em that's missing p. this is what barack obama does better than anyone else. man test right now in the early vote of look at
a lot of people cannot abide the idea of barack obama as president of the united states. they are angry. say outrageous things. the romney campaign abandoned most of the its message. it is just going back to some of the race stuff on welfare that it was doing before. they are appealing to that anger. they call that intensity, i call it irrationality. >> they have a lot of reason to go back to that, i suppose, alicia, when you look at the fact, the president is maintaining an edge in swing...
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Oct 30, 2012
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let's recall that president obama is fairly popular in jersey and chris christie is not. and he needs a lot of help from the federal government. he needs fema help, red cross help and trailers and everything so for a state executive at a bipartisan time, the president, he has an advantage, he can conduct diplomacy so to speak on like two treks. he can have the full machinery of the white house and the disaster response and being statesman like. that campaign isn't over. that campaign is going on and on, both sides, romney and obama, they're putting out press releases, talking points, hitting each other ads are on the air so it hasn't stopped. >> the surrogates are still in motion. >> except for chris christie. >> that's true. >> he's switched sides now a surrogate for the president. sorry. >> and to bring it back to the reality of the situation, chris christie has an extraordinary amount of work on his hands. you know, the next few weeks or months of his life will be busy with nonpolitical activities. after the break workers are stranded, hundreds of businesses are closed
let's recall that president obama is fairly popular in jersey and chris christie is not. and he needs a lot of help from the federal government. he needs fema help, red cross help and trailers and everything so for a state executive at a bipartisan time, the president, he has an advantage, he can conduct diplomacy so to speak on like two treks. he can have the full machinery of the white house and the disaster response and being statesman like. that campaign isn't over. that campaign is going...
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" average of the most recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states, again, there will be three that we're going to be watching most closely. florida, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of the -- southwe
" average of the most recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00...
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and i think that it looks like the state leans towards president obama. but the senate race, the republican has a bit of an advantage there. the problem is that the democratic candidate is not a perfect candidate. she's under investigation by the house ethics committee and that's gotten in her way of getting better known and supported in areas of the state she does not represent, because these tend to be more swing areas of the state. >> one of the questions that is going to come up quickly on leadership issues. nancy pelosi, the democratic leader, has virtually no chance they're going to pick up 25 seats. that means that the democrats are not going to regain control. what is the likely scenario, is she going to stay and be the democratic leader? >> most people thought in 2010 after democrats lost 63 seats and lost control of the house she might step aside. she actually stayed on. i don't hear from democrats betting she's going to quietly step aside, even if democrats don't gain much traction and pick up half of the seats they need to take back the house
and i think that it looks like the state leans towards president obama. but the senate race, the republican has a bit of an advantage there. the problem is that the democratic candidate is not a perfect candidate. she's under investigation by the house ethics committee and that's gotten in her way of getting better known and supported in areas of the state she does not represent, because these tend to be more swing areas of the state. >> one of the questions that is going to come up...
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president obama knows that he really needs to win the state if he is to get those 270 electoral votes. so president obama really trying to make up for lost time, tamron, with some of these key swing state voters. as you know, he spent the past three days managing the federal response to sandy. that allowed him to look presidential, of course, but he had to cancel a number of campaign events including in wisconsin. so earlier today in wisconsin, he talked about that issue of romney painting himself as the candidate of change. he basically said that's not the case. he said, look, romney can't be trusted. he's not the candidate of change. is he a candidate who essentially espouses the same policies as george w. bush which president obama has argued is exactly what got the country into the financial mess that it was in during the recession. tamron. >> kristen, speaking of change, the president has modified his stump speech according to david axelrod, a more affirmative tone, but also pointing out the vision of what they say they are fighting for. >> reporter: right. he had this new riff t
president obama knows that he really needs to win the state if he is to get those 270 electoral votes. so president obama really trying to make up for lost time, tamron, with some of these key swing state voters. as you know, he spent the past three days managing the federal response to sandy. that allowed him to look presidential, of course, but he had to cancel a number of campaign events including in wisconsin. so earlier today in wisconsin, he talked about that issue of romney painting...
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four-point margin for obama. >> it is 47-47, president obama well under 50 in a state he should be well over 50, there are a million more democrats in pennsylvania that republicans. energy is very important issue in the state of pennsylvania and in 2008 in the democrat primary, hillary clinton beat president obama by double digits after president obama was the nominee for the party. it is fertile ground. >>chris: what will you look at early on election night? what states in what counties? how will you know if it is going to be an early night or long night? how long do you think it will take for us to figure out who is the next president? >>guest: there will be a lot of key things but what we are seeing is that there is a general underperforming in places where president obama needs to do well and this is overperforming in places where governor romney does well. there is an intensity factor on the side of the republicans that there is a significant gap and we see it on the ground with people knocking on the door and when people are making phone calls and, again, it is back to the simple
four-point margin for obama. >> it is 47-47, president obama well under 50 in a state he should be well over 50, there are a million more democrats in pennsylvania that republicans. energy is very important issue in the state of pennsylvania and in 2008 in the democrat primary, hillary clinton beat president obama by double digits after president obama was the nominee for the party. it is fertile ground. >>chris: what will you look at early on election night? what states in what...
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that's because of barack obama. states like nevada be a good example gwen: you say nevada? >> you're right. i'm going to get angry letters now. but i think it's a state where the votes are going to track very similar to the lines of the presidential race. gwen: how about montana? >> you're not seeing the opposite. there isn't a lot of romney coattail effect out of these states. a lot are really either competitive or leaning toward obama. it would not shock me if the race is decided by less than 1,000 votes. that's how tight it is. >> or how many people! [laughter] >> and indiana this week, gloria? that wasn't such a tight race and all of a sudden it is again the >> well, of course. because of remarks made my mourdock, who spoke about rape again and it sort of echoed todd achein, -- aikin, even though it was very different because he is opposed to any exceptions for a abortion. that is a difference from mitt romney's position, we should say. but what happens, when you have this be an issue in the campaign, and you talk about women being up for grarkss women voters are the cr
that's because of barack obama. states like nevada be a good example gwen: you say nevada? >> you're right. i'm going to get angry letters now. but i think it's a state where the votes are going to track very similar to the lines of the presidential race. gwen: how about montana? >> you're not seeing the opposite. there isn't a lot of romney coattail effect out of these states. a lot are really either competitive or leaning toward obama. it would not shock me if the race is decided...
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we have live pictures of president obama speaking in northern new jersey. isn't this what a disaster like this required, a state governor to communicate and then cooperate with the president of the united states? >> it's absolutely what's required, and i think it is what americans want from their government. i think it has to be a source of pride for americans watching these two men who have been political combatants. chris christie a top surrogate for governor romney, standing next to each other, praising one another. not jst one way, the president has been praiseful of chris christie. i think republicans are really off base to criticize him just for thanking the president for doing his job and being a leader in this situation. >> when you were listening to rush limbaugh there, that had a hint of kind of homophobia, didn't it? >> rush limbaugh has been disgusting on all this. he also imitating the president in a very offensive way. indicated that he called chris christie and basically bullied him, said he wouldn't get any money if he didn't come out and do
we have live pictures of president obama speaking in northern new jersey. isn't this what a disaster like this required, a state governor to communicate and then cooperate with the president of the united states? >> it's absolutely what's required, and i think it is what americans want from their government. i think it has to be a source of pride for americans watching these two men who have been political combatants. chris christie a top surrogate for governor romney, standing next to...
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out in virginia where they rescheduled a big event for obama for saturday in virginia, that obama has a more nimble campaign and has been able to adapt to the situation in these states. >> jeff, it's great to have you on, i read you all the time. you know, in politics like in life, there's rain and there's sunshine. and, you know, these guys act like there shouldn't be rain. i just like the sunshine. we don't live on that planet. we live on a planet where you get breaks, you don't get breaks. but there's limbaugh -- forget limbaugh, let's talk about reality. you get the breaks. something happens where you can use your best stuff. i think the president has had that opportunity now. >> and i think -- i think howard is right, he has been able to, you know, become more -- he looks more like a president now. gosh, for several weeks, maybe for several months, he's looked like a democratic candidate for president rather than a sitting president. so i think we're sort of seeing him in a presidential moment. he's finally sort of filling out this -- the air force one jacket he had on and kind o
out in virginia where they rescheduled a big event for obama for saturday in virginia, that obama has a more nimble campaign and has been able to adapt to the situation in these states. >> jeff, it's great to have you on, i read you all the time. you know, in politics like in life, there's rain and there's sunshine. and, you know, these guys act like there shouldn't be rain. i just like the sunshine. we don't live on that planet. we live on a planet where you get breaks, you don't get...
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that's a conservative part of the state. no one expected obama to win it. . the question becomes is what's on the ends. so far, we are seeing his numbers hold up remarkably well there. so i don't think that it's going to be -- i agree with jonathan capehart, it's fool's gold. but we'll see what happens and i'm sticking with robert. probably not. >> i like that. overall, one romney adviser said it's a tied football game. there's a loose ball. is that the talk of someone who is behind? i have been asking people today, if it's tied, don't you claim to be ahead? >> if only i knew the answer. this is the question that we all watch the same polls nationally and in the battlegrounds, they are tight. you can be buffetted one way or the other of the spin on both sides. they make the case the early voting numbers look like the obama campaign has lost the margin it went into election day with four years ago. on the other hand, it shows obama is up by two to one margins. you can glean whatever you want out of the facts that we have, the data that we have. the larger issu
that's a conservative part of the state. no one expected obama to win it. . the question becomes is what's on the ends. so far, we are seeing his numbers hold up remarkably well there. so i don't think that it's going to be -- i agree with jonathan capehart, it's fool's gold. but we'll see what happens and i'm sticking with robert. probably not. >> i like that. overall, one romney adviser said it's a tied football game. there's a loose ball. is that the talk of someone who is behind? i...
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they show a close race, but president obama with a small but durable lead in the states that matter, and predictions show a race leaning towards the president. >> i don't necessarily agree with that. i think what people would argue is that it is very close, and it's tight in a number of states, okay? >> yeah. >> and the undecided are not -- the general view is that if they have held out this long, chances are they won't vote for the president. that's one argument. so a lot of people look at that in a positive sense. but who knows? >> we're going to find out. >> let mort finish. let's see -- what's the unemployment rate by thunemploy, the more relevant one is 6, that's 14.7%. >> you regard this as good news or bad news? the white house says there are 170,000 of new jobs, sectors are up. romney says sad news that unemployment is up, you know, by 1/10th of a point. >> what was it when obama took office? >> it's not saying unemployment has increased. >> it's higher since obama -- >> there are fewer jobs than when obama took office, so it's not been a great improvement in the economy. we'
they show a close race, but president obama with a small but durable lead in the states that matter, and predictions show a race leaning towards the president. >> i don't necessarily agree with that. i think what people would argue is that it is very close, and it's tight in a number of states, okay? >> yeah. >> and the undecided are not -- the general view is that if they have held out this long, chances are they won't vote for the president. that's one argument. so a lot of...
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new york is a very strong democratic state. obama has new york in his pocket. i think it's also true for most of the eastern seaboard. it's the center of the united states where most of the problems are. the only real swing state on the eastern seaboard that's affected by the storm is virginia. >> when it comes to the election will be held, we haven't had confirmation whether it will be delayed, but so far it seems the date will still be held in a week from now, but i want to pick up on the early voting because the obama camp is hoping to encourage many people it get out to the polls early. obama himself also casting the vote early. the timing of this is important because we have the u.s. jobs figures supposedly coming out at the end of the week. if people don't get out there and vote and the numbers come in a little bit different from what was expected, could this have an impact? >> it could. getting the vote out is critical at the local level. and of course the election now comes down to six key states and within those, and they're up on your board now, and w
new york is a very strong democratic state. obama has new york in his pocket. i think it's also true for most of the eastern seaboard. it's the center of the united states where most of the problems are. the only real swing state on the eastern seaboard that's affected by the storm is virginia. >> when it comes to the election will be held, we haven't had confirmation whether it will be delayed, but so far it seems the date will still be held in a week from now, but i want to pick up on...
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there were a slew of battleground state polls including in ohio that showed obama ahead. there did seem to be momentum that he had had. and i think most importantly when you actually look back at hurricane sandy, and of course we don't know how election night is going to turn out, but it did freeze the romney campaign in place. and there wasn't a lot of talk of mitt romney for two or three weeks. he was the candidate who had the momentum. he was beginning to make his closing argument. and then hurricane sandy hit, and it froze that. and then the campaign began just a couple of days later. >> which is interesting, marc, because you often hear, and i want all of you to comment on this. any sport they say you don't want to peak too soon. with the unknown variable of the storm allowing the president to peak at this time, you do wonder without sandy, where would this race be tonight? >> you mean this is like one of the football games where the last team with the ball wins essentially? >> well, the overtime stats, the person with the first touch on the ball wins most of the tim
there were a slew of battleground state polls including in ohio that showed obama ahead. there did seem to be momentum that he had had. and i think most importantly when you actually look back at hurricane sandy, and of course we don't know how election night is going to turn out, but it did freeze the romney campaign in place. and there wasn't a lot of talk of mitt romney for two or three weeks. he was the candidate who had the momentum. he was beginning to make his closing argument. and then...
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we did in the write-up note that i do think barack obama is still ahead in the state. and as you mentioned, you can always follow their feet where they're going. mitt romney's spending a huge amount of time in ohio in the next few days, as is, i would say, barack obama. i think both campaigns recognize this is a not only a close race, because there are a lot of close races in states, but this is a place that mitt romney probably has to have. so, if ever there's going to be a place where they both fight because of the stakes are so high, i think ohio's it. i think it belongs where we now have it, which is in those eight states, ones we know, florida, new hampshire, iowa, virginia, nevada, colorado, new hampshire, i think ohio belongs in that group. i put it on myself i should have put it in there a few days before now. >> mark halperin, take a look at nbc news poll, iowa, president up but wisconsin and new hampshire, we're talking about a really closely fought race. >> based on the totality of the public and private polling the only us in is on governor romney to depp s
we did in the write-up note that i do think barack obama is still ahead in the state. and as you mentioned, you can always follow their feet where they're going. mitt romney's spending a huge amount of time in ohio in the next few days, as is, i would say, barack obama. i think both campaigns recognize this is a not only a close race, because there are a lot of close races in states, but this is a place that mitt romney probably has to have. so, if ever there's going to be a place where they...